Price Elasticity Revenue Impact

    10

    How does changing price affect total revenue under various demand elasticity scenarios and external market shifts?

    NOTEAbout This Model
    ## How does changing price affect total revenue under various demand elasticity scenarios and external market shifts? This model estimates **Total Revenue** based on uncertain inputs: Price Elasticity, Demand Curve Shift Factor, New Price. Run the simulation to see the distribution of possible outcomes.
    VARIABLENew Price
    triangular(5, 10, 15)
    The proposed price level we want to test against the base price of $10.
    new_price
    VARIABLEPrice Elasticity
    triangular(-2, -1.25, -0.5)
    A value of -1 is unit elastic; -2 is highly elastic (sensitive), -0.5 is inelastic.
    price_elasticity
    VARIABLEDemand Curve Shift Factor
    triangular(0.8, 1, 1.2)
    Accounts for external market shifts (e.g., seasonality, competitors) that move the whole demand curve.
    demand_curve_shift_factor
    FORMULAProjected Quantity
    base_quantity * pow(new_price / base_price, price_elasticity) * demand_curve_shift_factor
    Projected quantity sold based on price change and elasticity, adjusted by a demand shift factor. Formula: Q2 = Q1 * (P2/P1)^e * Shift.
    projected_quantity
    FORMULATotal Revenue
    new_price * projected_quantity
    Total revenue at the new price point.
    total_revenue
    OUTPUTTotal Revenue
    total_revenue
    Total revenue at the new price point. Compares how volume drops from higher prices against the per-unit revenue gain. A wide distribution suggests the optimal price is highly sensitive to elasticity assumptions.
    CONSTANTBase Quantity
    1000
    Baseline quantity sold at the reference price. Serves as the anchor for price-volume projections.
    base_quantity
    CONSTANTBase Price
    10
    Current or reference price used as the denominator in the price ratio calculation.
    base_price

    What is Carlo?

    Carlo is a visual tool for Monte Carlo simulation. Model uncertainty by dragging probability distributions, connecting them visually, and running thousands of scenarios instantly.

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