Commute Time Uncertainty Model
Community
00
Estimate the total commute time in minutes accounting for traffic and weather variability.
NOTEAbout This Model
## Estimate the total commute time in minutes accounting for traffic and weather variability. This model explores how **Total Commute Time** could play out, depending on Traffic Delay Factor, Weather Delay Factor. Hit **Run** to see the range of possibilities.
VARIABLETraffic Delay Factor
triangular(0.8, 1.65, 2.5)
Traffic can range from light (0.8x) to heavy congestion (2.5x) during peak hours.
traffic_delay_factor
VARIABLEWeather Delay Factor
triangular(0.9, 1.2, 1.5)
Weather conditions like rain or snow typically add 10-50% to travel time.
weather_delay_factor
FORMULATotal Delay Multiplier
traffic_delay_factor * weather_delay_factor
Combined delay multiplier from traffic and weather interactions.
total_delay_multiplier
FORMULATotal Commute Time
30 * total_delay_multiplier
Final commute time calculation applying multipliers to the base duration.
total_commute_time
OUTPUTTotal Commute Time
total_commute_time
Track the total commute time output
What is Carlo?
Carlo is a visual tool for Monte Carlo simulation. Model uncertainty by dragging probability distributions, connecting them visually, and running thousands of scenarios instantly.