Examples
Monte Carlo simulation examples — ready-to-use templates for finance, business, and operations analysis.
Finance
Startup Valuation (VC Method)
VC Method valuation with scenario-weighted outcomes: IPO, acquisition, and failure paths. Models probability-weighted expected value like professional investors.
Albert Cordenius1FIRE Advanced
Time-series portfolio model with inflation, expense ratios, and real vs nominal tracking
Albert Cordenius1FIRE Basic
Simple Financial Independence calculator with savings rate and investment returns
Albert Cordenius1Business
Product Demand Forecast
Forecast demand with seasonal variation and market uncertainty
Albert Cordenius1Insurance Claim Decision
Decide claim approval based on threshold with conditional payouts
Albert Cordenius1Weather-Driven Sales
Model how correlated weather factors (temperature & sunshine) affect beach resort revenue
Albert Cordenius1Operations
Inventory Reorder Point
Calculate optimal reorder point considering demand variability and lead time
Albert Cordenius1Project Cost Risk
Estimate total project cost with uncertain labor, materials, and contingency
Albert Cordenius1Manufacturing Yield
Calculate production yield with defect rates
Albert Cordenius1Product
Feature Prioritization
Score and rank product features using weighted criteria with uncertainty
Albert Cordenius1Conversion Funnel Analysis
Model conversion rates through a multi-step funnel with drop-off uncertainty
Albert Cordenius1A/B Test Sample Size
Calculate required sample size for A/B tests with statistical power analysis
Albert Cordenius1Research
Estimating Pi
The classic classroom Monte Carlo: throw random darts at a square to estimate π
Albert Cordenius1Survey Sample Size
Determine required survey sample size for desired confidence level
Albert Cordenius1Clinical Trial Power
Estimate statistical power for a two-arm clinical trial
Albert Cordenius1